Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 45.785237 52.580324 59.652020 67.529405 76.028194 84.892001 94.806095
2024-10-06 36.112820 45.727378 56.308950 68.687356 82.643720 97.775093 115.304624
2024-10-13 30.623284 41.770543 54.556074 70.033736 88.005396 107.980545 131.629895
2024-10-20 25.458274 37.357624 51.555450 69.290364 90.425151 114.421915 143.353137
2024-10-27 20.828474 32.955077 48.008949 67.389658 91.051538 118.441521 151.999568
2024-11-03 19.103005 31.999721 48.485748 70.172624 97.098758 128.678907 167.788676
2024-11-10 17.240840 30.620649 48.235129 71.898413 101.752820 137.200428 181.537871
2024-11-17 14.639881 27.915106 46.012695 70.918678 102.910599 141.414211 190.096685
2024-11-24 12.404438 25.465618 43.912309 69.905280 103.871261 145.273293 198.145535
2024-12-01 10.843664 23.841330 42.795194 70.060880 106.217322 150.763482 208.125373
2024-12-08 9.498467 22.390195 41.795204 70.270365 108.556856 156.198189 218.015415
2024-12-15 8.438655 21.275515 41.183708 70.933531 111.433982 162.275678 228.688491
2024-12-22 7.108214 19.539492 39.552424 70.125665 112.366308 165.942448 236.472947
2024-12-29 6.388620 18.808408 39.387530 71.349155 115.989737 173.035156 248.553244
2025-01-05 5.779088 18.199125 39.354810 72.722537 119.794321 180.357606 260.938150
2025-01-12 4.833069 16.772942 37.912713 71.962113 120.640338 183.836606 268.478054
2025-01-19 3.817759 14.996882 35.750360 70.015486 119.762336 185.011061 273.055255
2025-01-26 3.665436 15.121175 36.777835 72.865393 125.554627 194.919956 288.770555
2025-02-02 3.366069 14.851848 37.101813 74.632183 129.833729 202.858191 302.003193
2025-02-09 2.731252 13.628025 35.667657 73.629217 130.166374 205.565216 308.527396
2025-02-16 2.182873 12.475607 34.261416 72.591662 130.392126 208.091896 314.796599
2025-02-23 1.834131 11.781999 33.639441 72.750979 132.305348 212.857110 323.958660
2025-03-02 1.534614 11.146438 33.074559 72.965465 134.276871 217.693147 333.218812